Show some sincerity
During the phone call with Blinken, Wang said, "The hasty withdrawal of US troops has had a severe negative impact on the situation in Afghanistan, and it will not be a responsible attitude if the US created new problems in its next move."
Zhu said it is possible that the US might change its policy to "urge peace and stability on the surface but act as a troublemaker under the table," so the foundation for China-US cooperation or US-Russia cooperation on the Afghanistan issue is not very solid.
But if the US supports terrorists, extremists and separatists to make trouble for China and Russia, it will backfire and it will pay a heavy price, Pan warned. He stressed that the US has had too many lessons in the past, so let's hope they are not so stupid again.
Zhu said that before the 9/11 attacks, "most US elites believed Afghanistan, which was a breeding ground for global terrorism and a country suffering from civil war, was not a big deal to the US as it's far from the US, but Osama bin Laden and Al Qaeda proved they were wrong."
If Afghanistan fails to restore long-term peace and sustainable stability, of course its neighbors will be directly impacted. But there will also be a global spillover. Most extremists and terrorists worldwide are still targeting the West, especially the US, as their top enemies, not China and Russia, Zhu noted.
And if it ignores the importance of Afghanistan and evades its responsibility to ensure the stability of the region, the US will sooner or later pay another heavy price like the 9/11 attacks, said experts.
Blinken told Wang over the phone that the US reiterates its opposition to all forms of terrorism and its pledges not to seek to foment unrest in China's western border areas, and the evolving situation in Afghanistan once again demonstrates the importance of US-China cooperation on regional security in a constructive and pragmatic manner.
"We hope the US is not just talking the talk, but at least will take actions to show its sincerity. China-US counter-terrorism cooperation has been suspended due to US double standards. If the US could correct its mistake by designating the East Turkistan Islamic Movement [ETIM] as a terrorist organization and cut off its connections with ETIM, this would be a positive signal," Pan said.
China-Russia cooperation more reliable
Compared to China-US cooperation where there is a lack of mutual trust, China-Russia cooperation is more solid and reliable.
Wang and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov also exchanged views on the current Afghan situation in a phone talk on Tuesday.
China and Russia should also work together to encourage the Taliban… to ensure that the new Afghan government draws a line with terrorist forces and to fight against terrorism including ETIM to avoid Afghanistan from becoming a safe haven for terrorists and extremism, Wang said.
Lavrov said that the changes in Afghanistan have brought complications to the global situation. Russia is willing to work together with China to follow the development of the situation and keep close coordination.
Qian Feng, director of the Research Department of the National Strategy Institute at Tsinghua University, said that China and Russia also agree on not sending troops to fill the gap left by the US in Afghanistan, because Moscow remembers the lesson of the Soviet Union invasion of Afghanistan in 1979, and its military presence in Syria makes it unable to open another battlefield.
On the Afghanistan issue, the US, China, Russia and Pakistan are the four key players with major influence, throughout the previous mediation for the peace process to the current stage. "But unfortunately, India has no place at the table, because its policy on Afghanistan was never neutral, and it holds a very inflexible hostile stance toward Taliban," Qian said.
The current situation makes New Delhi very embarrassed and there is no significant role it could play, said Chinese experts.
"On the Afghanistan issue, the major powers' coordination is just an external element, which cannot solve the problems and conflicts between different forces in the country… so the major powers should not play the role of 'master' to directly intervene the internal affairs of Afghanistan. This is the reason why many major powers made a serious and deadly mistake in Afghanistan," Zhu said.